(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

By David Wysocky

One of the joys of basing player values on actual statistical models versus gut feel (seemingly the way most roto sites assess player values), is that you can hit the pause button at any point in the season to understand who's doing what and how they rank among their peers. In the case of the Dbacks, their 16-13 record looks and feels even better when you consider that many of their key players are significantly underperforming.

With that in mind, the following table highlights (from a fantasy perspective) how much value in traditional roto dollars each player has contributed (as of May 3^rd) versus what they were expected to produce (based on values provided by baseballinsights.com).

Player	Current Value as of 5/3	Predicted Value as of 5/3	% under/over value
Stephen Drew	$0.95	$3.02	68.54%
Chris Young	$2.01	$3.53	43.06%
Chad Tracy	$2.32	$3.85	39.74%
Conor Jackson	-$0.56	$3.14	117.83%
Orlando Hudson	$5.50	$3.03	81.52%
Miguel Montero	$0.26	$0.90	71.11%
Eric Byrnes	$5.06	$3.57	41.74%
Brandon Webb	$4.18	$5.46	23.44%
Randy Johnson	-$0.13	$3.73	103.49%
Doug Davis	$2.99	$1.79	67.04%
Jose Valverde	$5.76	$3.33	72.97%

Just as Stephen Drew appeared to be getting untracked, he goes 1-for-13 with 8 Ks against the Dodgers. Chris Young has experienced the expected rookie growing pains and has been very inconsistent over the past several weeks; from a fantasy perspective,
however, Young owners should look to hold, and those on the outside should look to buy low. His counting stats (HRs, RBIs, SBs) are good and will only get better.

So what does all of this tell us?

Two things. First, if you're in a mixed league or N.L. only league, you should be looking to buy low on Dbacks as they're expected to perform at a much higher level (so we
hope!). Second, with increased performance should come more wins, a pretty good sign given their current record.

For more information about your favorite Dbacks or any player throughout the Majors, check us out at www.baseballinsights.com or reach out at gm@baseballinsights.com.

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